The only stat that matters to me when No. 12 BYU visits No. 25 Oregon on Saturday is 20-0. 

That’s the Ducks’ record in their last 20 games at home, the third-longest home winning streak in the country.

 that’s precisely why I like them to get the win over BYU.

The only question is whether or not Oregon covers 3.5 points, and I think they will for one reason: Bo Nix.

Nix will be the best quarterback BYU’s defense has faced through three games. 

The former five-star bounced back from a rough opener against Georgia to throw for five touchdowns against Eastern Washington in Week 2. 

Nix’s job will be made easier by a strong rushing attack that averaged 4.5 yards per carry

against UGA and sits at 5.1 yards per carry on the season.

BYU’s defense is somewhere in the middle of those prior two opponents, 

but nowhere near Georgia and not so good that it can’t be exploited by a capable player under center.